Northern Togo is facing a rising threat as jihadist groups, previously concentrated in Burkina Faso, increasingly infiltrate the region. This surge in activity, beginning earlier in 2024, has sparked growing concern within Togo, yet the government has remained notably quiet on the issue, fueling speculation and anxiety among residents.

Burkina Faso has endured a devastating year, experiencing the highest number of deaths attributed to terrorism globally for the second consecutive year. The ongoing instability and escalating violence within Burkina Faso have created a spillover effect, with extremist groups seeking new operational bases and targets. This migration of militant activity presents a significant challenge to Togo's security apparatus.

The Quiet Response: A Cause for Concern?

The Togolese government's silence on the matter has drawn criticism from analysts and local communities. While understanding the need for strategic communication in sensitive security situations, the lack of transparency is perceived by some as a sign of unpreparedness or an underestimation of the threat. Concerns are mounting that the government's reluctance to publicly acknowledge the issue hinders effective public awareness campaigns and preventative measures.

Understanding the Jihadist Threat

The groups operating in northern Togo are believed to be affiliated with al-Qaeda and Islamic State, mirroring the violent ideologies driving the conflict in the Sahel region. Their tactics include ambushes, roadside bombings, and targeted attacks on civilian and military personnel. The aim appears to be destabilizing regional governments and establishing a foothold in new territories.

Impact on Local Communities

The presence of jihadists is already impacting the lives of ordinary Togolese citizens in the north. Increased insecurity has disrupted trade and agriculture, leading to economic hardship and food shortages. Many residents are fearful of travelling, and there are reports of displacement as people flee their homes to seek safety in more secure areas. The psychological toll on communities is also significant, with heightened anxiety and a sense of vulnerability.

What’s Next for Togo?

Addressing this escalating threat requires a multi-faceted approach. Firstly, improved border security is crucial to prevent further infiltration. Secondly, strengthening the capacity of Togolese security forces through training and equipment upgrades is essential. Thirdly, fostering community resilience and promoting dialogue between different groups can help to counter extremist narratives. Finally, regional cooperation with neighbouring countries, particularly Burkina Faso and Ghana, is vital for sharing intelligence and coordinating security efforts.

The Togolese government faces a critical juncture. A proactive and transparent response is needed to safeguard the country's security and protect its citizens from the growing threat of jihadist violence. Failure to do so could have severe and long-lasting consequences for Togo and the wider region.